Demographic long-lasting winter continues…
The latest CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) provisional report (read HERE) of births data published this month shows that the plummet has continued in 2020. In this respect, last September we published in News and Views (read HERE) the 2019 data-based also in CDC report of that date. This plummets in the United States is a global trend in Western countries. The last decades showed a radical change of paradigm, fewer children and substantial postponement of maternity. We concluded in our article of last Septembre “[…]many countries are not repopulating enough to sustain their current populations, we are seeing a substantial imbalance in the ratio of elderly dependents to working-age people […] read HERE.
2020 CDC report data surpass the record numbers of declines in the birth rate of 2019. ” The provisional number of births for the United States in 2020 was 3,605,201, down 4% from the number in 2019 (3,747,540). This is the sixth consecutive year that the number of births has declined after an increase in 2014, down an average of 2% per year, and the lowest number of births since 1979.” the report says.
Another record low for the nation
The CDC report affirms that “The provisional general fertility rate (GFR) for the United States in 2020 was 55.8 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44, down 4% from the rate in 2019 (58.3), another record low for the nation. From 2014 to 2020, the GFR declined by an average of 2% per year.” Moving further away from the minimum number of births necessary for a generational replacement.
In all women age groups, the decline – 4% from 2019 data – are the same except in the aged 35-39 and 40-44 that down 2%. We remark this lower negative rate in the last groups of age because it emphatic confirms the trend to the postponement of maternity with the negative medical and social effects we have largely commented on in several articles which are also confirmed with the higher incidence of cesarian delivery (31,8% in 2020).
In the end good news “The provisional birth rates for teenagers aged 15–17 and 18–19 in 2020 were 6.3 and 28.8 births, respectively, down by 6% and 7% from 2019, again reaching record lows for both groups. From 2007 to 2020, the rates for teenagers aged 15–17 and 18–19 declined by 9% and
7% per year, respectively.” says the report.
From our point of view is necessary to underline that not many governments have effective initiatives with strategic politics of long duration to these alarming figures. International agency as UN with a special “Population Division” also appears to be exclusively working to natality control and abortion agenda, even in countries with these sad figures. An ancient Malthusian politics.
Demographic long-lasting winter bioethical approach
The so-called demographic winter of western countries has been in continuous decline for ten years, it is a winter solid established with social and economic great implications which year by year increase the age imbalance and the lack of generational replacement. This demographic trend also is affecting health care systems, the lack of entrained personal and infrastructures to treat the quick increase of older patients. No mention of the economical effect of fewer workers and more pensions to pay; a difficult challenge for the national and international finance teams.